Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Hearkening Update

Email from a friend who received from a political operative:


As of 5 pm, John Kerry has gone up by over two points nationally. His
lead will increase to more than three. No one who is involved in the
exit poll operation or in any of the networks believe that Bush can win.

The only major surprise from the last update in that Kerry has gone two
points up in VIRGINIA. Also, the size of Kerry's showing in
Pennsyvlania (he's up by 14) is putting Hoeffel awfully close to
Specter. Daschle is still down, but not by as much. Knowles and
Salazar will win. Bunning's lead has fallen into the margin of error
and that race is too close to call. Castor looks like she's winning in
Florida. DeMint has pulled back ahead in SC but it's close.
Interestingly, North Carolina is now too-close-to-call, with four models
projecting Burr and three models projecting Bowles.

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