Data Tables

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Sorry about this. It's just data, not leisure reading. But I highly recommend my little treatise on neoliberalism, at left. "Definitions and Neoliberalism." So click that. Or, if you like to pore over polling data state-by-state, by all means linger a little longer on the tables below...

Double apologies is you're on a low-res monitor and it's messing up the screen...

The following tables have been generated by a macro to summarize the data I'm using to make my maps. I intend to update this post when I do the horse-race maps and just link back to it for the benefit of anyone wishing to analyze the underlying data...

TradeSports Table

LAST UPDATE - 7/23/04 (may be slight discrepancies with daily report on account of newer info)

STATE	BUSH	KERRY
Alabama	96	4	9
Alaska	94	6	3
Arizona	77	23	10
Arkansas	59.9	40.1	6
California	10	90	55
Colorado	78	22	9
Connecticut	7	93	7
Delaware	16	84	3
District of Columbia	0.9	99.1	3
Florida	51	49	27
Georgia	93	7	15
Hawaii	5	95	4
Idaho	95	5	4
Illinois	9	91	21
Indiana	93	7	11
Iowa	36	64	7
Kansas	94	6	6
Kentucky	90	10	8
Louisiana	81	19	9
Maine	25	75	4
Maryland	13	87	10
Massachusetts	4	96	12
Michigan	35	65	17
Minnesota	28	72	10
Mississippi	96	4	6
Missouri	59	41	11
Montana	93	7	3
Nebraska	96	4	5
Nevada	58	42	5
New Hampshire	47	53	4
New Jersey	13.5	86.5	15
New Mexico	41	59	5
New York	6.5	93.5	31
North Carolina	77	23	15
North Dakota	96	4	3
Ohio	54	46	20
Oklahoma	95	5	7
Oregon	38	62	7
Pennsylvania	44	56	21
Rhode Island	5	95	4
South Carolina	91	9	8
South Dakota	95	5	3
Tennessee	81	19	11
Texas	97	3	34
Utah	96	4	5
Vermont	5	95	3
Virginia	80	20	13
Washington	24	76	11
West Virginia	61	39	5
Wisconsin	42	58	10
Wyoming	96	4	3
TOTALS:	274	264

Average of Avail. Popular Surveys

LAST UPDATE - 7/24/04 (may be slight discrepancies with daily report on account of newer info)

STATE	BUSH	KERRY
Alabama	54	37	9
Alaska	56	33	3
Arizona	45	42	10
Arkansas	47	45	6
California	41	49	55
Colorado	48	43	9
Connecticut	34	55	7
Delaware	0	0	3
District of Columbia	0	1	3
Florida	46	47	27
Georgia	51	40	15
Hawaii	0	1	4
Idaho	55	25	4
Illinois	38	53	21
Indiana	49	32	11
Iowa	45	49	7
Kansas	56	37	6
Kentucky	52	39	8
Louisiana	48	42	9
Maine	44	45	4
Maryland	39	53	10
Massachusetts	31	59	12
Michigan	44	48	17
Minnesota	44	49	10
Mississippi	61	30	6
Missouri	46	46	11
Montana	53	33	3
Nebraska	1	0	5
Nevada	48	42	5
New Hampshire	46	48	4
New Jersey	41	50	15
New Mexico	43	50	5
New York	31	55	31
North Carolina	49	43	15
North Dakota	1	0	3
Ohio	46	46	20
Oklahoma	60	34	7
Oregon	43	50	7
Pennsylvania	42	49	21
Rhode Island	25	49	4
South Carolina	51	41	8
South Dakota	51	35	3
Tennessee	50	43	11
Texas	55	37	34
Utah	67	22	5
Vermont	36	51	3
Virginia	49	45	13
Washington	43	49	11
West Virginia	47	44	5
Wisconsin	43	49	10
Wyoming	1	0	3
TOTALS:	216	288

Digest of Averaged Polls

LAST UPDATE - 7/24/04

STATE	Bush (Wiss)	Kerry (Wiss)	Wiss Tot	Bush (DCr)	Kerry (DCr)	DCr Tot	Bush (Ras)	Kerry (Ras)	Ras Tot	Bush (SUSA)	Kerry (SUSA)	SUSA Tot
AL	57	36	9	52	38	9	52	38	9	55	36	9
AK			3	56	33	3			3			3
AZ	41	42	10	41	42	10			10	53	41	10
AR	48	43	6	46.7	44.5	6	45	46	6	49	47	6
CA	41	49	55	38	49	55	38	52	55	45	46	55
CO	48	43	9	48	43	9	49	44	9			9
CT	34	55	7	34	55	7			7			7
DE			3	0	0	3			3			3
DC			3	0	1	3			3			3
FL	48	46	27	48	46	27	43	48	27	44	47	27
GA	51	40	15	51	40	15	52	41	15			15
HI			4	0	1	4			4			4
ID			4	55	25	4			4			4
IL	38	54	21	37	53	21	37	53	21	39	52	21
IN	52	36	11	46	27	11			11			11
IA	46	50	7	45.7	50.4	7	44	48	7	45	48	7
KS	57	39	6	56	36	6			6	56	36	6
KY	52	40	8	52	39	8			8	52	39	8
LA	48	42	9	48	42	9			9			9
ME	41	44	4	45	46	4	45	46	4			4
MD	38	52	10	39	53	10	39	53	10			10
MA	33	58	12	30	59	12	31	60	12			12
MI	45	47	17	45	47	17	44	46	17	41	51	17
MN	45	48	10	45	48	10	41	50	10			10
MS	61	30	6	61.2	30	6			6			6
MO	44	46	11	44	46	11	48	44	11	48	46	11
MT	53	33	3	53	33	3			3			3
NE			5	1	0	5			5			5
NV	49	38	5	45.1	43.3	5			5	49	45	5
NH	46	48	4	46	48	4	45	47	4			4
NJ	41	49	15	41	51	15	41	51	15			15
NM	43	51	5	42.1	49.4	5			5			5
NY	34	57	31	29	51	31	30	58	31			31
NC	49	44	15	49	44	15	49	42	15			15
ND			3	1	0	3			3			3
OH	46	48	20	46	48	20	46	42	20			20
OK	58	34	7	59	35	7	63	31	7	60	34	7
OR	43	50	7	43	50	7	42	50	7			7
PA	39	51	21	39	51	21	43	48	21	46	47	21
RI	25	49	4	25	49	4			4			4
SC	49	39	8	51	44	8	53	36	8	51	44	8
SD	51	35	3	50.1	34.8	3			3			3
TN	52	41	11	47.5	47.5	11	49	41	11	51	41	11
TX	55	38	34	55	37	34	55	37	34			34
UT	67	22	5	67	22	5			5			5
VT	36	51	3	36	51	3			3			3
VI	47	45	13	50	45	13	48	45	13	50	45	13
WA	44	45	11	44.4	52.6	11	41	50	11	44	49	11
WV	45	48	5	51	42.8	5	46	41	5			5
WI	44	49	10	44	49	10	42	50	10			10
WY			3	1	0	3			3			3
TOTALS:	0	0