One Week Out

I've started monitoring the data on the race daily. I won't blog the daily results. But today is the first time I can remember that my method actually yielded a Kerry win. Don't read too much into it, as states like Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin are orbiting around a margin of error, and when four states flip to a two-point advantage there's no statistical reason to believe that the candidate is winning.

But, nevertheless, the electoral college as it stands right now:

Strong Bush - 189; Weak Bush - 60; Total Bush - 249
Strong Kerry - 203; Weak Kerry - 86; Total Kerry - 289