About Those Swing States
Interesting poll of various metropolitan areas' reactions to the first presidential debate.
So, to look at Arizona, Bush wins in Phoenix by 42-40. Loses in Tucson by 38-48. It's strange that the perception that Bush "clearly won the debate" is so geographically linked. I'd like to say that Kerry's smashing victory in Saint Louis (50-28) augurs well. But it's a known quantity that the Saint Louis metropolitan area is not a representative microcosm of the Show-Me State as a whole. The 49-33 victory in Las Vegas is potentially good news for Nevada.
Still, a solid performance of 45-31 in Florida is certainly good news. Intriguingly, the highest viewership rates appear to have been in Colorado and Florida, which indicates that swing states are taking this election seriously.
1 Comments:
Re. Vegas--they always vote Dem, while hinterlands always vote Reep. The "swing city" is Reno--if Kerry can split it evenly with Bush, he wins, but if Bush gets 55% there, the state stays blue. If any Bushies go to NV, you'll see them in Reno, not in Vegas.
-Toby
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